Will Elizabeth Holmes have published a best-selling book before 2045
Will Elizabeth Holmes have published a best-selling book before 2045
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NYTimes best seller list or best equivalent, written by her, before 2045
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Did other high-profile scams like Enron or Bernie Madoff result in books sold by the perpetrators?
@BoltonBailey I cannot find any reference indicating that she is planning to write a book, or that other individuals involved in high-profile scams tend to write books.
This is a tough one. It might be better if her husband wrote it or her parents or brother, since she wouldn’t be able to keep any of the proceeds. Though she could use it to pay some of the hundreds of millions in restitution she was ordered to pay.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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