Will 20 or more clones of John von Neumann exist by 2100? | Manifold

Will 20 or more clones of John von Neumann exist by 2100?

Plus

15

Ṁ1127

2100

25%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

They don't have to be strict clones - they can have point changes but should be essentially attempts to clone him as he was. They should be physical clones made from his DNA (or his DNA as we think it might have been, pieced together as best we can).

Half-clones does not count at all.

20 semi-clones but with health or other normal genetic modifications do count, as long as at least 75% of his genes are preserved.

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If we have perfect clones with 100% of his genes preserved but their biology and neurology are digitally simulated rather than physical, is this NO?

The real question is how many von Neumann clones can a single von Neumann clone produce in a century. Enough to explore the galaxy in a feasible timeframe, you think?

@AndrewHartman Reading this in Bill Cyphers voice works very well

Why is this so low?

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Related questions

Will John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older be more likely to identify as LGBTQ+ than the general population?

What proportion of John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?

Will a human clone be born before the end of 2035?

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Will any human-created robot or life form create a copy of itself before 2030?

Will we be able to clone a human being from a live sample of their DNA by 2040?

Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2100?

Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040?

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Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100?

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