Aella will live outside the US for at least six months through 2030
Basic
6
Ṁ462031
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@NoaNabeshima hmm, "live" implies longer term, not just "being alive while overseas" so yes let's say it has to be basically contiguous. Although if she stays out 200 days with a 3 day trip back to the US in the middle that is okay.
This gets super legalistic so let's just hope it's obvious that her "home" and "residence" was out of the US a clearly defined, long period of time. If it gets complicated we can deal with it then.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Aella have a child by 2030?
74% chance
Aella switches to a private life through 2030
33% chance
60% of effective altruists will live outside of the US or UK by 2024 (in 2019 45% lived outside the US and UK)
28% chance
I will live outside the United States in 2030
18% chance
Will I live and work in the US before 2030?
52% chance
Will Aella shower at least 40 times in 2024?
14% chance
Elon & Aella meet by mid 2027
43% chance
Will I be living in the United States in June 1st 2025?
71% chance
Elon & Aella meet in 2024
22% chance
Will Elon Musk spent more than 1 year without entering the US before 2034?
38% chance