Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030?
Plus
19
Ṁ24152031
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The "major companies" refers specifically to Alcor, Cryonics Institute, and Tomorrow Bio.
Some combination would mean if that, say, Alcor accidentally thawed one and Tomorrow Bio accidentally thawed one, that would satisfy the "at least two" criterion.
Resolves a year and a day after 2030.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?
33% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?
52% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2075?
35% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2100?
34% chance
Will there be a widely commercially available Cryonics provider that is using aldehyde-stabilized brain preservation protocol by 2025?
25% chance
If a human preserved through cryonics is successfully brought back to life before 2100, how will it happen first?
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2050?
21% chance
Will reviving a cryonics patient be developed before life extension to 200 years?
55% chance
Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
36% chance
[Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?
28% chance