Will gross world product in the year 2030 be at least 1 quadrillion USD? | Manifold

Will gross world product in the year 2030 be at least 1 quadrillion USD?

Basic

3

Ṁ75

2031

7%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

USD will be measured in 2022 US dollars.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

@ElliotOlds Is this supposed to be closed? Should it be reopened until closer to the end date?

@EvanDaniel It's not supposed to be closed. I must have accidentally set the wrong end date when creating the market. Fixed.

@ElliotOlds Thanks!

My best guess is just that it had the default close date on it and no one noticed at / shortly after question creation time.

According to https://www.statista.com/statistics/268750/global-gross-domestic-product-gdp/, gross world product is about ~100T; at the start of the graph (1985) the total was 12T; so it's taken more than 35 years to not quite increase 10x. Another 10x increase would hinge on unprecedented factors (e.g. breakthrough in AGI)

Related questions

Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040?

Will the GDP of the US be greater than 40 trillion dollars in 2030?

Will the GDP of the US be greater than 30 trillion dollars in 2030?

Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2030?

Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030?

Will the GDP of the US be greater than 50 trillion dollars in 2030?

Will the richest person in the world have a net worth over 1 Trillion USD at any point in 2030?

Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?

Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?

Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?

Related questions

Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040?

Will the GDP of the US be greater than 50 trillion dollars in 2030?

Will the GDP of the US be greater than 40 trillion dollars in 2030?

Will the richest person in the world have a net worth over 1 Trillion USD at any point in 2030?

Will the GDP of the US be greater than 30 trillion dollars in 2030?

Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?

Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2030?

Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?

Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030?

Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules