Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?
Plus
15
Ṁ4692100
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is obviously something you can game by botting for views so don't do it. They will hunt you down.
When some market hits 1 million views on the official view counter, we will look at the total traders stat and see if it is 10k or greater. If it is, resolves Yes. Otherwise, resolves No.
If no market reaches 1 million views, this will just not resolve...or N/A or whatever but expect to be in it for the long term if you bet on this.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Tripping Probably querying Supabase. I believe at the time I looked it up before making this, the leader was this one:
/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
It's at over 200k but less than 250k.
My understanding is this view counter is 'unique' views, and that is what this market resolves based on.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Rational Animations' video about Manifold Markets reach 200k views by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will this market get more than 1000 different traders?
1% chance
Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030
48% chance
Will r/ManifoldMarkets reach X number of subscribers
What proportion of Manifold markets made in January 2027 will be visible to more than 100 users?
Will any videos uploaded on Manifold Market's official YouTube channel receive over 6k views by the end of 2024?
59% chance
Will we collectively be able to bring all markets on Manifold above 10 traders?
23% chance
Will any Manifold market reach 10,000 traders by the end of 2024?
4% chance
The Million Views Challenge: Will the first market to reach 1 Million views receive an reward for it?
24% chance
Will any videos uploaded on Manifold Market's official YouTube channel receive over 6k views by the end of 2025?
70% chance