Who will come out as conservative in 2025? (Add answers)
Who will come out as conservative in 2025? (Add answers)
9
Ṁ324Dec 31
58%
Mark Zuckerberg
50%
Eric Adams
45%
SBF
41%
Jack Dorsey
41%
Jeff Bezos
34%
Dwayne Johnson
31%
Leonardo DiCaprio
11%
Sam Altman
8%
Dario Amodei
3%
Coffeezilla
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on public figures who explicitly identify themselves as conservative or right-leaning in 2025, having not previously been known to hold such views. To qualify:
The individual must make a clear, public statement or demonstration of conservative political alignment in 2025. Public statements and endorsements of conservative politicians will count.
This must be a first-time public declaration of conservative views.
Social media posts alone will qualify if they are unambiguous and come from verified accounts.
The statement must come after the question was added.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
Who will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Who/what will have done a "right wing pivot" before 2027?
WIll Brian Chau (psychosort) vote conservative for the 2025 canadian federal election
50% chance
Will PredictIt continue to have a conservative bent by end of 2028?
63% chance
Who will run for the 2028 Republican nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
Who will be the next Conservative Prime Minister?
Who will be President on Election Day 2028? (Add answers.)
Who will be the next Conservative Party Leader?