
Will the US be a democracy in 2035?
Plus
20
Ṁ12572041
88%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As classified by their polity score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?
5% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2050?
82% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2040?
77% chance
Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
78% chance
Will the world be more democratic in 2045?
27% chance
Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?
86% chance
Will there be a major change to the US political system by the end of 2035?
73% chance
Will the United States no longer be a democracy within 5 years?
19% chance
Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
51% chance
Will China be a democracy in 2050?
26% chance