Will the percent of Pakistanis in extreme poverty be above 5 percent in 2023?
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2026
69%
chance

4.93% in 2018 but that was pre-Covid and flooding.

https://ourworldindata.org/poverty#explore-data-poverty

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My economic development professor this quarter specializes in Pakistan. He supports my no position because despite the dire problems, government transfers to the very poorest increased so much during this period, enough to offset their deceased market income in his opinion.

predictedYES

Extending until data released

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predictedYES

Seems like Pakistan is in/headed for an economic crisis which, sadly, should probably raise this probability https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-global/pakistan-dire-economic-crisis-why-pm-shehbaz-sharif-geneva-explained-8372290/lite/

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