Will the percent of Pakistanis in extreme poverty be above 5 percent in 2023?
Will the percent of Pakistanis in extreme poverty be above 5 percent in 2023?
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Ṁ3737Sep 18
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4.93% in 2018 but that was pre-Covid and flooding.
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In May The World Bank projected it would decrease by 1.4 percentage points 2019-2023 despite the problems. What source do you plan on using to resolve the market?
predictedYES 1y
@DismalScientist If they do not have updated numbers, I will use World Bank Open Data
predictedYES 2y
Seems like Pakistan is in/headed for an economic crisis which, sadly, should probably raise this probability https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-global/pakistan-dire-economic-crisis-why-pm-shehbaz-sharif-geneva-explained-8372290/lite/
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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