If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon? | Manifold

If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?

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23

Ṁ2223

2026

24%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves NA if NATO troops never enter the war.

Close date updated to 2025-01-01 6:59 pm

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Checking assumptions: If Russia nukes Ukraine, followed by NATO entering the fight, followed by Russia nuking Ukraine again, this market resolves YES?

Yes

Over what timescale is this market intended to resolve? It currently says it closes in a week, and I'm not sure if that's intentional.

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