Who will Biden pardon after the election?
Plus
73
Ṁ11kJan 22
69%
5 or more people with marijuana-related drug charges
25%
Hunter Biden
14%
Jack Smith
12%
Anyone facing a death sentence
10%
Edward Snowden
8%
Julian Assange
7%
Donald Trump
5%
Jamaal Bowman
1%
Ryan Wesley Routh
An outbound president traditionally grants pardons during their lame duck period, after the election but before they leave office.
Who will Joe Biden pardon during this period?
This market will be limited to an actual pardon, and exclude other forms of clemency such as communtation of a sentence.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
As asked by The Intercept https://theintercept.com/2024/11/27/biden-trump-commutations-death-row-executions
Related questions
Related questions
Will Joe Biden pardon Hunter Biden before Jan 21, 2025?
21% chance
If Joe Biden is not reelected will he pardon Hunter Biden before leaving office?
22% chance
Will Trump pardon any of the convicted “J6ers” before 2028?
92% chance
[Metaculus] Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
22% chance
Will President Biden pardon Hunter Biden?
22% chance
Does a Trump presidential victory imply Joe Biden will pardon Hunter?
22% chance
Will Joe Biden pardon or commute the sentence of Hunter Biden?
23% chance
Will Joe Biden pardon Hunter Biden?
22% chance
Who will Donald Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
Will Trump pardon anyone by the end of January 2025?
65% chance