Will Vladimir Putin be alive on 1st January 2026?
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36
Ṁ14k2026
94%
chance
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1M
ALL
“Yes” if he is still alive on that date.
“No” if he dies before then.
If it’s unclear whether he is alive or not on that date I’ll extend the resolution up to 1st June 2026. If it’s still unclear whether he is alive on 1st June 2026 I will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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