If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
Plus
16
Ṁ19042028
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.
Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
41% chance
UK politics: Will Keir Starmer get a new lecturn?
14% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
39% chance
Will Labour form a 2 term government?
43% chance
Will Kier Starmer still be leader of the Labour Party (UK) on 1st January 2025?
97% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
40% chance
Will Keir Starmer be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at the end of 2024?
98% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
37% chance
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?