Longevity Expert Death Pool: which longevity expert will die the youngest?
Basic
18
á¹€1107
2074
15%
Peter Attia
10%
Michael Greger
15%
Andrew Huberman
15%
Bryan Johnson
10%
Crissman Loomis
20%
Michael Lustgarten
1.8%
Rhonda Patrick
10%
David Sinclair
3%
Other

Many longevity experts happily advise how to live forever. Will they? I've picked eight longevity experts (including myself). Which one of them will die at the youngest age?

Current ages:

Background:

As part of my longevity research on unaging.com, I've been reviewing other researchers' longevity recommendations and rating them for expected life impact. I'm interested in the wisdom of crowds on who is the most wrong and thus likely to die the youngest. Earning mana from my research would be a bonus. 💰

Details:

  • Younger age is determinate, not first to die. Age at the time of death decides who died the youngest, even if an older person dies before them.

  • No foul play. If murdered, that person is no longer valid.

  • If all experts live past 3/23/2074, then question resolves to Other.

For those with published works, I've reviewed their approach:

Bryan Johnson

Peter Attia

Michael Greger

Get
á¹€1,000
and
S3.00
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How is the market supposed to resolve if you die? (As in, who will click the "Crissman has died" button?)

@JuliusSimonelli Will be up to the mods to update!

@LuisCostigan Rhonda is a bold choice, given she's the only female on the list, and women naturally live longer. Reasoning?

sold á¹€3 YES

@CrissmanLoomis I remember thinking exactly that, and must have misclicked.

@diadematus I hadn't come across him before. Good stuff. Anyway, he's about 10 years younger than the rest of the pool, so I'd rather leave him off this one anyway since he would delay the confirmation of the youngest death by ten years or so.

Great question. One note: He's better known as Andrew Huberman.

@kenmichaels Right! Corrected. Thanks.

bought á¹€15 NO

@CrissmanLoomis Not corrected on my side fwiw

@LuisCostigan Fixed. It took me a while to realize you were talking about the list, not the birthdays screen shot.

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