This market is about the extinction risk of the Black Rhinoceros species by 2100. The market will resolve YES if the Black Rhinoceros becomes completely extinct by 2100, or earlier. It will resolve NO if it does not become extinct by 2100. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive animals.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_rhinoceros
IUCN red list of threatened species
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/6557/152728945
iNaturalist
https://www.inaturalist.org/taxa/43350-Diceros-bicornis
For comparison, here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species:
1,000
3.00Here a first comparison of the extinction risk of 20 species, for which I have set up markets yesterday and today. I have classified them in ten risk classes.
0-9%: Ultra Low Risk
None
10-19%: Low Risk
None
20-29%: Minor Risk
30-39%: Moderate Risk
Bonobo, Black Rhinoceros, Lion
40-49%: Substantial Risk
White Rhinoceros, Asian Elephant, African Savanna Elephant, Western Gorilla, Tiger, Leopard, Jaguar
50-59%: Significant Risk
Indian Rhinoceros, African Forest Elephant, Sumatran Orangutan, Eastern Gorilla, Snow Leopard
60-69%: High Risk
Tapanuli Orangutan, Bornean Orangutan
70-79%: Severe Risk
80-89%: Critical Risk
90-100%: Ultra High Risk
None