Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 500 meters of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project are completed and open for public use by December 31, 2030. Completion is defined as the segment being fully constructed and operational for its intended purposes. Verification will be based on official announcements from the Saudi government or the NEOM project, as well as credible news sources reporting on the project's status.

Background

"The Line" is a proposed linear city within Saudi Arabia's NEOM project, envisioned to stretch approximately 170 kilometers and house up to nine million residents. The city is designed to be 200 meters wide and 500 meters tall, featuring two parallel skyscrapers with a mirrored facade. The project aims to be powered entirely by renewable energy and operate without cars or roads. Initial plans projected significant portions of the city to be completed by 2030, with full completion by 2045. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

Recent reports indicate that the project's scale and timeline have been adjusted. As of early 2025, construction has faced delays due to financial constraints and logistical challenges. Current projections suggest that only a 2.4-kilometer segment may be completed by 2030, a reduction from the original plan. (bbc.com) Additionally, the project's full completion is now estimated to take up to 100 years, extending into the 2120s. (newcivilengineer.com) These developments may impact the likelihood of at least 500 meters being completed and operational by the end of 2030.