Will UK leave NATO before 2030?
Basic
8
Ṁ2502030
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
26% chance
Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will any country withdraw from NATO by the start of 2032?
23% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2030?
28% chance
Will Scotland leave the UK before 2030
15% chance
Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2027?
19% chance
Will USA leave NATO by the end of 2026?
25% chance
Will all 31 current NATO member countries still be NATO members in 2030?
93% chance
Will Wales leave the United Kingdom before 2030?
6% chance
Will the UK apply to rejoin the EU before 2030?
9% chance