Times for dates is UTC.
If necessary more dates will be added and close date pushed back.
Update 2025-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the following:
"Content pages" refers to English content/article pages.
The source for this count is the English Wikipedia statistics page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Statistics.
Update 2025-05-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding early resolution if the milestone is reached on a date for which no specific market option currently exists:
If such an early resolution is anticipated before it occurs, the creator will add earlier date options for betting. The market would then resolve based on the correct added date.
If the event occurs on a specific date before a corresponding market option for that date has been created and made available, bets on 'Other' will resolve as true.
1,000
3.00@100Anonymous Don't think that will happen, but I have said extra dates can be added (they are split out of other). The description says
"If necessary more dates will be added and close date pushed back."
It wouldn't be necessary to push back the close date if it has happened or looks like it is going to happen soon i.e. before 20th.
So If it happens before 20th there are two possibilities -
1. it is seen as likely before happening and extra date(s) before 20th are added. In which case the date will resolve yes. Before this happens you can bet on 'other'.
2. It happens before dates are added. In this case, I don't think it matters whether I add the correct date and resolve that date or just resolve other as true immediately. A bet on other will make mana either way.
@105du Yes meant English content/article pages per link below. I think the 63 million figure includes talk pages and the like.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Statistics