Sam Altman has hinted that they're on the wrong side with closed source, what is the first model OpenAI open sources (if multiple simultaneously resolves to %)?

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Background

OpenAI has historically kept their models proprietary, making them available through APIs rather than open-sourcing them. Their upcoming models include the o3 and o3-mini reasoning models (January 2025) and GPT-Next, though none are currently announced to be open-source.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the first model that OpenAI releases as open-source software after market creation. To qualify as "open-source":

• The model's weights and architecture must be publicly released

• The model must be released under an open-source license (e.g., MIT, Apache, GPL)

• The release must be officially made by OpenAI, not leaked or released by third parties

• Fine-tuned versions of existing models do not count

Considerations

• OpenAI has never fully open-sourced their major language models (GPT-3, GPT-4, etc.)

• The company's business model relies heavily on API access to their models

• Recent trends in AI development suggest companies are becoming more protective of their models, not less

• "Open-source" should not be confused with "available via API" or "available for academic research"

• Meta, Deepseek, Qwen