Will Serbia's president Vučić stay in power throughout 2025?
Will Serbia's president Vučić stay in power throughout 2025?
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Ṁ1942026
46%
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The market resolves as YES if Aleksandar Vučić remains in power as President of Serbia until the end of 2025. It resolves as NO immediately after it is widely reported that he has lost power.
Background:
Serbia’s Prime Minister, Vučević, has recently resigned amid daily anti-government protests. These protests began after a roof collapse at a railway station in November 2024 resulted in the tragic deaths of 15 people.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/serbias-pm-resign-popular-protests-persist-tanjug-news-agency-2025-01-28
Related market: https://manifold.markets/ChaosIsALadder/will-vucic-flee-like-assad
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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