AI bubble pops before January 2026?
14
Ṁ412Dec 31
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve based on the change in the official closing prices of the S&P 500 index (SPX) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) stock between Friday, October 17, 2025, and Wednesday, December 31, 2025.
The market resolves to "Yes" if,
> SPX declines by 10% or more from Oct17, 2025 close and,
> NVDA declines 30% or more from Oct17, 2025 close.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
34% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2028?
59% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2029?
72% chance
Will the AI bubble pop in 2025?
7% chance
Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
55% chance
When will the AI bubble pop?
-
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
70% chance
Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?
5% chance
xAI highest valuation in 2025