
Trump prison time in hush money sentence before election day?
Basic
4
Ṁ900Nov 11
99.0%
No prison time
1.0%
1-11 months
1.0%
12-23 months
1.0%
24-35 months
1.0%
36-47 months
1.0%
48+ months
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No".
If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, "No prison time" will resolve yes and all other markets will resolve no.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump successfully appeal the hush money case?
50% chance
What consequences will Trump face for violating the judge’s orders in the hush month trial?
Will Trump's hush money convictions be overturned due to the Supreme Court's grant of presidential immunity?
14% chance
How Long Will Trump Go To Jail?
How much time will Trump serve in jail/prison/house-arrest?
When will Trump serve time?
Will Donald Trump be sentenced to time in prison/jail, house arrest, both, or neither?
Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026?
16% chance
Total Trump Jail Time Served before 2034
Will Donald Trump spend any amount of time in Jail over his most recent indictment ?
5% chance