Which prices will BTC be above on 2024-12-31?
Which prices will BTC be above on 2024-12-31?
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Ṁ14kresolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES$20000
Resolved
YES$30000
Resolved
YES$40000
Resolved
YES$50000
Resolved
YES$60000
Resolved
YES$70000
Resolved
YES$42545
Resolved
YES$10000
Resolved
NO$100000
Resolves to the price given by CoinMarketCap on 2024-12-31.
I may add more answers later, depending on if there is particular demand or wide spreads between adjacent answers. I recommend sorting by %.
Update 2024-27-12 (PST): - Resolves at the Manifold market close time, rather than CoinMarketCap's close time. (AI summary of creator comment)
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@BoltonBailey Is the market close at 11am UTC when the price will be registered, or will it still be the close of the day (midnight UTC in CoinMarketCap)?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00