Which movies will have a >70% RottenTomatoes score two weeks after their release?
➕
Plus
49
Ṁ23k
Feb 28
1%
Releasing 2024-11-27: Here
50%
Releasing 2025-02-14: Captain America: Brave New World
Resolved
YES
Dune: Part Two
Resolved
YES
Kung Fu Panda 4
Resolved
NO
Madame Web
Resolved
NO
Releasing 2024-03-22: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-05-03: The Fall Guy
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-05-08: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-05-24: Furiosa
Resolved
NO
Releasing 2024-05-24: Garfield
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-06-14: Inside Out 2
Resolved
NO
Releasing 2024-07-03: Despicable Me 4
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-07-26: Deadpool 3
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-08-16 Alien: Romulus
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-09-13: Speak No Evil (2024)
Resolved
NO
Releasing 2024-09-27: Lee
Resolved
NO
Releasing 2024-09-27: Megalopolis
Resolved
NO
Releasing 2024-10-04: Joker: Folie à Deux
Resolved
YES
Releasing 2024-10-11: Saturday Night

By tomatometer score. Individual answers to be resolved as soon as possible.

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@BoltonBailey Joker can resolve NO, Saturday night can resolve YES

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Ziddletwix @mods inactive creator, Joker -> NO, saturday night -> YES

bought Ṁ681 NO

@BoltonBailey lee, megalopolis, & joker 2 can all resolve NO

bought Ṁ0 YES

@Rolledupaces Resolves YES. It’s two weeks after release

@Ziddletwix I agree. But I can’t resolve. You need to talk to the creator of the market.

@Rolledupaces Oh I didn’t realize commenting on an option replies to the option submitter, weird

@BoltonBailey

opened a Ṁ1 NO at 10% order

@Rolledupaces i’ve not hated a movie as much as this one in a long while

@mattyb But it’s still going to get great reviews, right? I’m betting it all! Thanks for the tip!

opened a Ṁ1 NO at 5% order

@Rolledupaces sure, go for it

bought Ṁ300 YES

Can someone close Alien: Romulus?

@BoltonBailey mind adding the release dates to the options that don't have them? I've looked them up - the only one that's still TBD is Joker

release dates:
Speak No Evil - Sept 13, 2024
Saturday Night - Oct 11, 2024
Megalopolis - Sept 27, 2024

Lee - Sept 27, 2024

Here - Nov 27, 2024

Alien: Romulus - Aug 16, 2024 (this one should resolve on Aug 30)

thanks! 🧡

@BoltonBailey this should have resolved a couple of weeks ago - it's at 78% nearly a month after release so should be a clear Yes afaict

bought Ṁ500 NO

@BoltonBailey @mods This resolves NO.

DM4 is at 56% currently and has stayed below 60% pretty much since release.

bought Ṁ331 YES

@BoltonBailey resolves YES

bought Ṁ50 NO

@mods "Note: My usage of Manifold has decreased recently. Moderators should feel free to resolve my markets as they see fit."

@BoltonBailey furiosa and Garfield can resolve (YES and NO)

@mods pinged creator a week ago, no response.

furiosa resolves YES, Garfield resolves NO, and then the market can reopen (the creator was setting a new close date for each independent option)

@Ziddletwix any idea what the close date should be?

bought Ṁ500 YES

The creator was setting it to 2 weeks after each release, but that was a personal reminder to themselves (to resolve the next option—the intention of that close date was not to actually block trading after a certain point, 2w after release the scores aren't changing anyways).

so if the creator isn't responsive, imo just set the close date to the final movie (2w after 2025-02-14, so 2025-02-28), and if the creator returns they can set the close date earlier if they choose

@BoltonBailey this market closed, so can you resolve kingdom YES & reopen?

@BoltonBailey can resolve YES

I'm going to put the release date on all of these

@BoltonBailey you may wanna extend the market again too

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