When will a Mission: Impossible film be released without Tom Cruise as Ethan Hunt? | Manifold

When will a Mission: Impossible film be released without Tom Cruise as Ethan Hunt?

Plus

29

Ṁ2551

2026

1%

By 2025

22%

By 2030

60%

By 2035

86%

By 2040

Resolves YES for all years at or above the first year in which a Mission Impossible movie is released without Tom Cruise playing Ethan Hunt, and NO for other years. For a movie to count, it has to be made with a budget comparable to that of the current movies.

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Resolution if Mission Impossible is cancelled?

@Vik I mean, it seems like in that case no movies would be "released", so these would resolve No.

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