Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?
21
Ṁ11972026
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, at least one individual affiliated with Elon Musk's America Party, or any other new party founded with Musk’s help, is elected to the United States Congress (either the House of Representatives or the Senate). To count, the individual must not be running under the Democratic or Republican ticket.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk create a political party in 2025?
48% chance
Will Elon musk form a new political party
48% chance
Elon Musk announces support for a Democratic candidate before August 1, 2025
4% chance
What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms
If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Elon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?
48% chance
What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?
Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
28% chance
Musk child holds elected political office by mid 2034
10% chance