Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025? | Manifold

Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?

Plus

32

Ṁ16k

2026

5%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if a nuclear weapon coming from Iran detonates or is intercepted in Israeli airspace before 2025.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇮🇱 Israel

#Arab-Israeli Conflict

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ500 NO

The market close date is 1 January 2026 but the title says "Before 2025" which suggests it should resolve 1 January 2025. Is this a typo or intentional?

@zsig oops I meant the end of 2025, sorry @traders for the ambiguity, fixing that now!!

Related questions

Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025?

Will Iran reach the 'weapons-grade' uranium enrichment threshold before 2025?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?

Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?

Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Iran possess a nuke before 2025?

Will Israel topple the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the end of 2025?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Related questions

Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025?

Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?

Will Iran reach the 'weapons-grade' uranium enrichment threshold before 2025?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Will Iran possess a nuke before 2025?

Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?

Will Israel topple the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the end of 2025?

Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules