Will Brian Johnson be convicted of sexual misconduct of a minor by January 23, 2027
Will Brian Johnson be convicted of sexual misconduct of a minor by January 23, 2027
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Ṁ965Feb 26
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Venture capitalist Brian Johnson is so obsessed with becoming young, but he get too obsessed with a minor. This market will resolve YES if Brian Johnson is convicted of sexual misconduct of a minor in any US jurisdiction before January 23, 2027. Resolution will be based on publicly available court records and reputable news sources. Market resolves NO if no such conviction occurs by the close date.
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timeline where anti-aging becomes associated with pedophilia, setting longevity research back decades
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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