What state will I be living in five years from now?

Basic

Ṁ166

2027

14%

Other

12%

Utah

12%

Colorado

25%

California

30%

Florida

0.4%

Texas

Outside the US

Missouri

I grew up in Missouri, and currently reside and work in Utah. I'm very happy with my life here but want to move before I settle down. I have invitations to experience life in Florida and California but am open-minded about where I'll end.

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Keep in mind that 5 years is a long time - even if you move to Florida / California in the near term, you very well might move to another state by market close.

I’m partial to you coming to Florida, not just because we are, but I see many benefits. I also see CA being a positive option for you. Utah would be the safe choice to stay where you are, but I’m hoping you change things up!

I'm an indecisive person and may be unable to settle on somewhere else to go. California is exciting, but I don't care for big cities, and don't know people in rural areas. My parents are moving to Tampa Florida, and it would be nice to be near them.

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What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
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