Will Gemini 3.0 Pro outperform Gemini 2.5 Pro on the LMArena (Without Style Control) | Manifold

Will Gemini 3.0 Pro outperform Gemini 2.5 Pro on the LMArena (Without Style Control)

35

Ṁ6716

Nov 30

75%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Gemini 2.5 Pro has had a wide lead in the lmarena text leaderboard (without style control) for many months now. Will Gemini 3 Pro pass it?

This means Gemini 3 Pro's arena score, the first time it is added to the lmarena leaderboard, being higher than Gemini 2.5 Pro's arena score at that time.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Chatbot Arena Leaderboard

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

boughtṀ50YES

@Robincvgr do you want to bet more? maybe at 66%

bought Ṁ1,623 YES at 66%

Related questions

Google Gemini 3 Pro Release Date

Gemini 3.0 released before November 15?

-9% 1d20% chance

Gemini 3 exceeds expectations?

-16% 1d34% chance

Gemini 3.0 released in December 2025?

Gemini 3.0 released before November 30?

+3% 1d64% chance

Gemini 3.0 Pro outperforms GPT-5 on METR 50% time horizon?

+6% 1d66% chance

Gemini 3.0 released in November 2025?

+7% 1d68% chance

Will Gemini 3.0 Pro Achieve Silver Medal Performance on the 2025 IMO?

Who will overtake Gemini 2.5 pro when?

What will the elo of Gemini 3.0 pro on lmarena be 1 week after release. (Text arena, no style control)

Related questions

Google Gemini 3 Pro Release Date

Gemini 3.0 Pro outperforms GPT-5 on METR 50% time horizon?

Gemini 3.0 released before November 15?

Gemini 3.0 released in November 2025?

Gemini 3 exceeds expectations?

Will Gemini 3.0 Pro Achieve Silver Medal Performance on the 2025 IMO?

Gemini 3.0 released in December 2025?

Who will overtake Gemini 2.5 pro when?

Gemini 3.0 released before November 30?

What will the elo of Gemini 3.0 pro on lmarena be 1 week after release. (Text arena, no style control)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules