Will an AI generate the best optical illusion of any year before 2030?
Will an AI generate the best optical illusion of any year before 2030?
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Resolves according to the "Best Illusion of the Year" contest, at https://illusionoftheyear.com/. See also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Best_Illusion_of_the_Year_Contest.
If an image or video generation model is integral in the creation of the #1 illusion of the year, for any year from 2024 to 2029, resolves YES. Otherwise, resolves NO.
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The fact is that current AI generation has severe issues with doing regular, geometric things of the sort that illusions tend to consist of. I feel like in order for this to resolve YES would require a totally novel AI technique not currently in widespread use.
I don't think it should count if it's a generated video. Seems the point of these is to pull physical illusions.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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