When will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married?
16
Ṁ4183
2026
2%
Before November 2025
3%
Before December 2025
4%
Before 2026
6%
Before February 2026
18%
Before March 2026
29%
Before April 2026
35%
Before May 2026
36%
Before June 2026
66%
Before July 2026

  • Update 2025-10-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - "Before [Month]" means the marriage must occur prior to the first day of that month.

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bought Ṁ10 NO

To clarify - does “before” imply before the first day of that month?

in general ‘month’ is a range not a point in time, and ‘before range’ means before the range starts. A range is (time0, time1) with time0 being the time the range starts and time1 being the time the range ends. ‘In time’ is a type error, ‘in range’ means after time0 and before time1. ‘By time’ is before time, ‘by range’ is linguistically ambiguous. More at https://manifold.markets/post/frequent-market-terms-recommended-d?r=QmF5ZXNpYW4

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Bayesian "before september 2025" and "before october 2025" can resolve NO

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