Each answer contains a question: Do you think the person/character/concept is more Right-Wing (YES) or more Left-Wing (NO)? Bet YES, or NO, according to your opinion. 1 person = 1 vote (per answer), so having more shares does not make your vote count for more.
Heavily inspired from @Joshua's excellent market,
/Joshua/good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr
You can submit any person/character/concept (shortened to p/c/c for the rest of the description), as well as a link / short phrase to give traders some context. If other people trade on your submission, you'll get mana off of their transaction fees (edit may 29: currently not true, but I believe it is being implemented currently).
I may N/A options for quality control, or edit them to provide a more neutral summary.
As a trader, you should buy any amount of YES in p/c/c you think are Right-Wing, buy any amount of NO in p/c/c you think are Left-Wing. I will leave the definition of those terms up to you. The amount of shares doesn't matter for the resolution, one share of yes is one vote and one hundred shares of yes is also one vote.
If I think you are voting purely as a troll, such as buying no in every option, I may block you or disregard your votes. Please vote in good faith! But hey, I can't read your mind. Ultimately this market is on the honor system.
Note that market prices will be a bit strange here, because this is simultaneously a market and a poll. If you sell your shares, you are also removing your vote.
The market will close every every week; See the close date to know on what day. I will then check the positions tab on options that have been submitted.
If there is a clear majority of YES holders, the option resolves YES.
If there is a clear majority of NO holders, the option resolves NO.
If it's very close and votes are still coming in, the option will remain un-resolved.
The market will then re-open for new submissions, with a new close date the next week. This continues as long as I think the market is worth running.
It does not matter what % the market is at, and bots holding a position are also counted.
Some guidlines:
I encourage you not to bet options to extremes (1% or 99%) before a quite clear majority has been established. Otherwise, it prevents others from betting toward that extreme, and can bias the results.
I may update these exact criteria to better match the spirit of the question if anyone has any good suggestions, so please leave a comment if you do.
See:
1,000
3.00
@Bayesian Would it be ok if options are only resolved if there is both a significant difference in yes/no traders and they have been up long enough to acrew 10 or more traders total, so that options remain profitable to add?
Some context:
Liechtenstein: European direct democracy but has consistently voted to keep its monarch and only gave women the vote super recently
The Cucuteni-Trypillia culture: hypothesised to have been egalitarian and matriarchal but given their era were probably super traditionalist and xenophobic by modern standards
The Inca civilisation: only major civilisation with a non-market economy but still hierarchical and imperialist
@TheAllMemeingEye the Prince of Liechtenstein is an absolute monarch in the sense that he can freely veto any piece of legislation. It is true though that this has one exception: if the country votes to get rid of the monarchy.
Also all eleven municipalities have the constitutional right to secede.
They look like if the country was made of glass and dropped from fairly high.
@BrunoParga lol yeah the subdivision borders are even more insane when you remember the country is basically a single valley
Bing Copilot:
Pāhoehoe is a type of lava flow that is characterized by its smooth, undulating, or ropey surface. The term comes from Hawaiian, meaning "smooth lava". This type of lava is typically basaltic and has a low viscosity, allowing it to flow quickly and form a relatively smooth surface as it cools.
Pāhoehoe lava is often contrasted with 'A’ā lava, which is rough, jagged, and clinkery. The smooth surface of pāhoehoe makes it easier to walk on compared to the sharp, fragmented surface of 'A’ā lava.
@Robincvgr all the sound of music lyrics are arguably left wing
Me:
raindrops on roses and whiskers on kittens
Bing Copilot:
That sounds like the beginning of a lovely song! Are you thinking of “My Favorite Things” from The Sound of Music? It’s such a classic tune. 🎶
What are some of your favorite things?
Me:
what is the social commentary of the sound of music?
Bing Copilot:
The Sound of Music offers rich social commentary, addressing several significant themes:
Resistance to Oppression: The story is set against the backdrop of the rise of the Nazi regime in Austria. Captain von Trapp’s refusal to comply with the Nazis, symbolized by tearing down the Nazi flag, highlights the importance of standing up for one’s principles, even in the face of great personal risk1.
Family and Solidarity: The von Trapp family’s unity and their collective decision to flee Austria rather than submit to the Nazis underscore the strength and importance of family bonds and solidarity in times of crisis1.
Personal Growth and Self-Discovery: Maria’s journey from a nun-in-training to a governess and eventually the matriarch of the von Trapp family illustrates themes of personal growth, self-discovery, and the pursuit of one’s true calling2.
Gender Roles and Empowerment: The film also touches on gender roles, particularly through the character of Maria, who challenges traditional expectations by taking on a leadership role within the family and making significant decisions that impact their future1.
These themes resonate with audiences by highlighting the importance of integrity, courage, and the pursuit of one’s dreams, even in the face of societal pressures and historical upheavals.
In particular the antifascism and feminism seem left wing
@Robincvgr cute animals and nature in general tend to be associated with leftist environmentalism
@Robincvgr I think opossums are actually more clearly left-wing than a lot of other animals. First, they seem to be in particular popular among gen Z, they feature in lots of memes, etc. Second, along with eg, raccoons, rats, pigeons, they are often considered a nuisance animal, and also aren't particularly rare or traditionally celebrated, and they also have kinda scary-looking faces. Appreciating such animals seems therefore kinda left wing, and empirically seems to be associated more with the left.
(Example in the wild -- if you google "opossum popularity", this reddit thread comes up -- https://www.reddit.com/r/punk/comments/t4o327/what_the_fuck_is_up_with_possums/ -- which is someone asking why opossum patches seem to be very common among punk patches)
@Robincvgr isn't "marsupial" just short for "my hands are super prehensile"?
Either way, if opossums are left wing, opposable thumbs should be as well.
(I am just being silly btw)