Which Trump opponents will face official DOJ investigations by October 1st, 2025?
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ6901
Oct 2
35%
Jack Smith
17%
Alvin Bragg
12%
Fani Willis
10%
Hunter Biden
10%
Merrick Garland
7%
Joe Biden
6%
Kamala Harris
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Resolved
YES
Letitia James

Market resolves YES for each individual/entity that has an official DOJ investigation opened against them under a Trump administration. Resolution source: Official DOJ press releases and statements (justice.gov/news).

  • Update 2025-08-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Only investigations opened by the Department of Justice (DOJ) count.

    • Investigations led by the Office of Special Counsel (OSC) are considered independent of DOJ and will not count.

    • Therefore, the current Jack Smith OSC investigation would resolve NO.

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The current Jack Smith situation is weird but does not technically qualify because its not a DOJ investigation, its an OSC investigation, and the OSC is independent of the DOJ. There's absolutely no practical difference but the question wording would make it currently resolve NO.

@Balasar does this count? It seems so.

https://www.npr.org/2025/08/08/nx-s1-5496351/letitia-james-justice-department-subpoena-trump

@MachiNi yes

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Balasar Nice. Thanks.

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