Will 1,000 AI medical devices be cleared by the FDA during 2024? | Manifold

Will 1,000 AI medical devices be cleared by the FDA during 2024?

Basic

12

Ṁ719

Jan 1

15%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Medical Grade AI

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

A lot hinges on the intent clarification here: "reach 1000 devices cleared" seems likely, "clear 1000 in 2024 alone" very unlikely.

Perhaps that's enough to N/A this question?

bought Ṁ25 YES

Wait do you mean "reach 1000 total" or only the ones with approval dates in 2024?

Because "during" makes me think the latter, but the former seems like a much more interesting/likely question to have...

And the "be cleared" language, though now I see the ambiguity/different-usage, had me betting like "yes that level of 1000 [total] will be cleared this year, during 2024"

So @BTE what was your intent?

Related questions

Greater than 1200 AI medical devices cleared by the FDA by the end of 2024?

The FDA will approve an AI developed cure before the end of the decade (<2030) for a previously incurable major illness.

Will AI be used in 2024 to brute-force a solution to a longstanding medical problem?

In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?

Will any product built using a large language model receive FDA clearance by the end of 2024?

Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?

Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?

By April 2025, will there be an AI that at least 1 million people trust for medical advice?

Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?

Will some U.S. doctors be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

Related questions

Greater than 1200 AI medical devices cleared by the FDA by the end of 2024?

Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?

The FDA will approve an AI developed cure before the end of the decade (<2030) for a previously incurable major illness.

Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?

Will AI be used in 2024 to brute-force a solution to a longstanding medical problem?

By April 2025, will there be an AI that at least 1 million people trust for medical advice?

In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?

Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?

Will any product built using a large language model receive FDA clearance by the end of 2024?

Will some U.S. doctors be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules