After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Plus
10
Ṁ36332027
76%
National
73%
ACT
73%
NZ First
32%
Labour
26%
Greens
22%
Te Pāti Māori
8%
Opportunities (TOP)
2%
NewZeal
2%
Legalise Cannabis
2%
New Conservative
Parties with ministers inside cabinet are considered part of forming a government. Parties who do not have ministers inside cabinet are not considered part of the government for the resolution of this question. So, in 2020, a similar question would only resolve positively for Labour. In 2023, it would resolve positively for National, NZ First, and ACT.
I will add new parties on request from 1 January 2026 if they are officially registered, or as I judge to be worthwhile adding. Parties included so far are those that ran in both 2020 and 2023.
If no election is held in 2026, the question will resolve positively for the first election after 2026. If an election is held before 2026, this question will not resolve for that election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day?
Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?
24% chance
Who will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?
Who will lead the NZ Labour Party at the next election?
Who will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Which party will have a government trifecta next?
What years will have a New Zealand general election before 2030?