If Biden is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Plus
57
Ṁ10kresolved Jul 22
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Joe Biden does not win the 2024 presidential election or there is a peace treaty signed concluding the Russia-Ukraine war before the election this market will resolve to N/A. If Joe Biden does win the 2024 presidential election:
This market will resolve to YES if, before November 3rd 2026, there is a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war that consists of a 30 day period where the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense's daily updates report that less than 100 Russian soldiers have been killed in combat.
This market will resolve to NO otherwise.
Note: if this market is featured on the Manifold Politics page the @ManifoldPolitics account may make edits, issue clarifications, and decide the resolution in ambiguous cases.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
68% chance
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
Will there be peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
15% chance
If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?
Will Ukraine and Russia have a cease-fire or peace before 2026?
58% chance
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
59% chance
If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?
55% chance
Will there be a Ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia before the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will there be ceasefires in the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas wars during the Trump presidency?
75% chance
Will a ceasefire be agreed between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
11% chance