Will the EU officially weaken or invalidate U.S. intellectual property rights before 2026?
18
Ṁ33kDec 31
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market resolves YES if, prior to January 1, 2026, the European Union officially announces or implements policies that explicitly weaken, suspend, invalidate, or refuse enforcement of intellectual property rights (patents, trademarks, copyrights, registered designs) originating from or registered in the United States.
Actions must be official EU-level measures (not just national or informal statements).
Actions must explicitly target IP rights registered or originating in the U.S.
Market resolves NO if no such EU policy is officially announced or enacted before January 1, 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US impose a 10% tariff on goods from the EU before 2026?
89% chance
US tech companies replaceable in the EU before 2031?
23% chance
Will the US impose 200%+ tariffs on european alcohol imports by the end of April 2025?
13% chance
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. in 2025
94% chance
Will the US increase copyright or patent terms by EOY 2030?
39% chance
EU triggers anti-coercion instrument against US before 2026?
65% chance
Will GPDR stop all EU residents using some significant LLM products by 2025?
16% chance
Will the US ban software patents before 2033 ?
9% chance
Will the EU regulate geo-blocking of copyright protected content by EOY 2027?
52% chance
Will US copyright terms be shortened by any amount before 2030?
15% chance