Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
Basic
32
Ṁ4883
2027
10%
Democrats control Congress
60%
Democrats control House, Republicans control Senate
0.6%
Republicans control House, Democrats control Senate
29%
Republicans control Congress

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ25 YES at 1.0% order

Some limit orders up!

How will independents be counted? Based on who they caucus with?

How will a senate tie be counted? I assume tie resolves according to VP?

@EvanDaniel I will resolve according to this Wikipedia page, once the results are finalized:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress
The two independent senators caucus with the Democrats and that's how they're counted, so I assume the same would apply for the House.
Yes, a senate tie resolves according to the Vice President's party.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules