When will there be a new tall building in San Francisco's Sunset?
When will there be a new tall building in San Francisco's Sunset?
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2
Ṁ972040
1D
1W
1M
ALL
88%
2030-01-01 or earlier
63%
2035-01-01 or earlier
63%
2040-01-01 or earlier
The building must be
South of Lincoln, north of Vicente, west of 16th and east of the ocean
Built after 2024-04-28
6 stories or taller
At least partially residential
At least partially occupied by the contract date
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@AndreaAllais is "built after 2024-04-28" the date of getting permits? Date of starting construction? Date of certificate of occupancy? Date when people move into the building?
@MikeChenSF I did not think it would be important, but let's go with certificate of occupancy. I'm sorry if this is poorly defined, I've never done this before
@AndreaAllais no worries! I'm a housing enthusiast and I think about this a lot.
2550 Irving is scheduled to open for occupancy in 2026. I think they have broken ground for construction.
https://www.2550irving.com/more-resources
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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