Which of these jobs are immune to AI replacement in 2030?

Basic

Ṁ628

2031

77%

Day care workers

74%

hairdresser

73%

Plumbers

59%

strip dancer

59%

Burglary

59%

Academic Reseacher

55%

Public company CEO

49%

Bus driver

49%

supermarket cashier

44%

Call center workers

42%

taxi driver

36%

Customer Service Chat Agents

22%

Data Entry Clerks

Resolution will be based on my judgment of reputable news media and the discussion in the comment section.

Jobs that rank in the top 40% for immunity to AI replacement will resolve at 100%. Jobs in the bottom 40% that are most susceptible to AI replacement will resolve at 0%. For the middle 20% of jobs, where it's unclear or debatable whether they are susceptible to AI replacement, resolution will be at 50%.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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So the resolutions are only about the immunity relative to other jobs, not in absolute? If Day care workers become 99% replaceable, but the rest of the jobs are even higher, then day care workers would resolve YES as immune?

@12c498e Yes the relative immunity matters here, however Ill try to add jobs on both replaceable and nonreplaceable end, so the scenario you described shouldn't be too big of a problem

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