Will Elon Musk be a octogenarian?
Basic
12
Ṁ241
2051
66%
chance

#Elon musk
#Life Extension
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
predictedNO

social security actuarial table gives a 50.4% chance of 51->80. Should be much higher for him because of SES.

bought Ṁ10 NO

but ai x-risk

Lots of health problems

@SusiEhw eyeballing it, he is below the median BMI for 50-54 year old Americans (29.1)

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules