This market resolves YES if a Chinese meme referencing US decline achieves greater global traction than a US meme mocking China by December 31, 2025. "Global traction" is measured by comparing the highest-performing example of each category across major platforms (X/Twitter, TikTok, Instagram, Reddit) using engagement metrics: total views, shares, and likes combined. The comparison uses the single most-viral meme from each side during the resolution period. If no clear winner emerges or metrics are unavailable, resolution defaults to a community poll.

Background

The 2025 US-China trade war sparked considerable controversy and countless memes, jokes and ironic content across Twitter/X, Instagram, TikTok and Reddit. AI-generated videos depicting Americans taking factory jobs quickly went viral and became "absolutely everywhere." These videos put Trump, US Vice President JD Vance, and tech mogul Elon Musk on footwear and iPhone assembly lines. Reshares of posts popular on Chinese social media to X and TikTok have garnered millions of views and tens of thousands of likes. Meanwhile, US-based memes mocking China have circulated on similar platforms, though with less documented viral success during the same period.

Considerations

Chinese memes benefit from state media amplification and coordinated sharing across platforms, while US memes lack equivalent institutional backing. Additionally, American society's political polarization means Americans may spread Chinese propaganda if it furthers their own political messaging. This asymmetry could artificially inflate Chinese meme performance independent of organic appeal.

I'll search for current information about recent US-China memes and their viral performance to ensure the description is accurate and up-to-date.#### Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if a Chinese meme referencing US decline achieves greater global traction than a US meme mocking China by December 31, 2025. "Global traction" is measured by comparing the highest-performing example of each category across major platforms (X/Twitter, TikTok, Instagram, Reddit) using engagement metrics: total views, shares, and likes combined. The comparison uses the single most-viral meme from each side during the resolution period. If no clear winner emerges or metrics are unavailable, resolution defaults to a community poll.

Background

The 2025 US-China trade war sparked considerable controversy and countless debates, memes, jokes and various ironic content across Twitter/X, Instagram, TikTok and Reddit. AI-generated videos depicting Americans working in clothing factories were reposted on X, amassing over 17 million views and 215,000 likes in two days. AI-generated videos putting Trump, US Vice President JD Vance, and tech mogul Elon Musk on footwear and iPhone assembly lines quickly went viral. Reshares of posts popular on Chinese social media to X and TikTok have garnered millions of views and tens of thousands of likes.

Considerations

American society is quite divided, and at this particular stage of political polarization, Americans really don't care whose propaganda they are spreading or where the meme actually comes from. Chinese state media produced AI-generated parody videos slamming Trump's approach as costly, divisive, and dangerous. This institutional backing, combined with algorithmic amplification on Chinese platforms, may artificially inflate Chinese meme performance independent of organic appeal.