
By July 1, will the world break the current record (19) for total number of people in space simultaneously?
Basic
2
Ṁ52Jul 3
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest
It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will we set a new record for number of people in space by mid 2025?
40% chance
Will there be a new record for people orbiting earth by the end of 2025?
45% chance
Will there be 100 people in space at the same time before 2030?
20% chance
Will there be 30 people in space at any moment before 2030?
85% chance
Will there be 25 or more people in space orbiting earth at the end of 2026?
30% chance
Will there be 50 people in space at any moment before 2030?
31% chance
Will someone break the record for longest streak of days spent in space by EOY 2027? (437 days)
20% chance
How many people will be in space at the start of 2026?
How many people will be in space on 1 January 2030?
18
When will be the first day that 100 or more humans are in space?
2036