Update 2025-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Disputed Status Resolution Clarification
If the USA is incorporated as a disputed territory rather than an official province of Pakistan, the market will resolve to no.
The market will only potentially resolve in favor if the USA is officially designated as a province alongside provinces such as Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Balochistan.
@bens father works for the US State Dept., He told me "I'd say there's still a 20-ish percent chance we don't become a province of Pakistan, so I wouldn't bet all my life's savings on it."
Just passing it on...
India shouldn't feel bad really, they will have the US as their neighbours. Its a win-win on all fronts
No, but solely because Zapatistas will beat them to it
@AUTOMATA I would like to clarify the resolution criteria. Please respond at the earliest convenience.
My lawyers have been researching this market all night. They inform me that according to Wikipedia, the "administrative units" of Pakistan currently comprise:
four provinces, one federal territory, and two disputed territories: the provinces of Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Balochistan; the Islamabad Capital Territory; and the administrative territories of Azad Jammu and Kashmir and Gilgit–Baltistan.
If the USA becomes an additional "province" of Pakistan alongside Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, & Balochistan, resolution is simple. However, if the USA becomes part of Pakistan but instead as a "disputed territory", along with "Azad Jammu and Kashmir, and Gilgit–Baltistan", how will this market resolve?
@Ziddletwix Pakistan would swiftly resolve any issues surrounding a disputed status. In the unlikely event that America is not incorporated as an official province, the market would resolve to no.