Way too much EV left on the table not to take the YES side of this, even now at the end of week 11…

~38% chance of at least 1 tie over the remaining games based on the 2018-2023 seasons sharing the current OT rules

Although 6 seasons of data is as bad as it gets in terms of sample size, there’s no reason to suggest that outcomes over the long-term would diverge meaningfully from what we’ve seen over past 6 seasons in terms of ties

@damone I think that in the long run the likelihood of ties decreases a bit as field goals are made from longer and longer distances. 60 is the new 50 or something.

@BrunoParga good point — didn’t consider that factor but makes sense

Sweepified!