Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each men's tennis player who reaches at least the semi-final stage (Top 4) of the 2025 Wimbledon Championships. Official results will be verified through the Wimbledon website and reputable sports news outlets.
Background
The 2025 Wimbledon Championships are scheduled from June 30 to July 13 at the All England Club in London. The men's singles draw includes top-seeded players such as Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz, and Alexander Zverev. Notably, Alcaraz, the defending champion, has been placed in the opposite half of the draw from Sinner and Novak Djokovic, potentially avoiding them until the final. (reuters.com)
Considerations
Player Form and Injuries: Recent performances and any injuries can significantly impact a player's progress in the tournament. For instance, Alcaraz enters Wimbledon on an 18-match winning streak, having secured titles at Rome, Roland-Garros, and Queen’s Club. (si.com)
Draw Analysis: The path to the semi-finals varies in difficulty. Alcaraz's draw is considered favorable, potentially facing Felix Auger-Aliassime in the third round and Andrey Rublev or Stefanos Tsitsipas in the fourth. (si.com)
Historical Performance: Players like Novak Djokovic, a seven-time Wimbledon champion, have a history of strong performances on grass courts, which may influence their likelihood of reaching the semi-finals. (sportskeeda.com)
Traders should consider these factors when making predictions.
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3.00fat finger comment
@105du I accidentally hit the “send” button on an empty comment and now I can’t delete the comment so I just updated it 🤦♂️
I added Bublik to this market, as he did quite well at Roland-Garros, reaching the QF round. Bublik also won the Halle Open right before Wimbledon, beating Sinner and Medvedev in that tournament.
Here is the men's draw: https://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/draws/gentlemens-singles/1/1
Note - notable players in each draw
Top Draw: Djokovic, Sinner, Shelton, Paul, Draper, Musetti, de Minaur, and Bublik ☠
Bottom Draw: Alcaraz, Zverev, and Fritz
The bottom draw is less competitive than the top draw, also since Rune and Medvedev have been eliminated already, essentially guaranteeing 2 of the 3 players Alcaraz/Zverev/Fritz to make SF round in my opinion. Take this into consideration.