I started Manifold in December 2024. As of right now (August 2025), my Manifold Net Worth is around 16,000 mana. I primarily gain mana through question bonuses rather than trading profit. Will I have a net worth greater than 50,000 mana on January 1, 2026?
Update 2025-08-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Loans and gifts will not count toward the net worth used for resolution.
Any gifted mana will be used as market liquidity so it does not affect the creator's net worth.
1,000
3.00Do loans/gifts count? In other words, is this market mainly meant to predict your natural net worth growth or is it also meant to predict other users' behavior when they're being incentivized to send you mana?
@4fa Loans and gifts shall not count. I do not take any loans, which also don't increase or decrease your net worth?? If I receive a gift of mana, I will use it as liquidity in this market or another one of my markets so it does not impact my net worth.
@105du Good criteria! I should have specified that I meant mana loaned by other users, not the built-in loans, which indeed don't impact your net worth.
@4fa I won't take any loans from other users, this market is purely to predict my natural net worth growth