This market's resolution is based on 2024-2025 regular season win/loss record: 

 Overtime losses are counted as regular losses for the purposes of this market. Hockey games do not end in ties.

This will resolve yes when Ovechkin scores career goal number 895 (Season goal 42). Or will resolve no after the last game he plays in the regular season. 

This will resolve N/A. There are no events below this. Unless you changed the sort ;)

3/25 09:50 ATP Casper Ruud WIN vs Francisco Cerundolo

3/25 11:00 ATP Taylor Fritz WIN vs Adam Walton

3/25 11:00 WTA Magda Linette WIN vs Jasmine Paolini

3/25 12:30 ATP Lorenzo Musetti WIN vs Novak Djokovic

3/25 13:00 ATP Alex de Minaur WIN vs Matteo Berrettini

3/25 16:00 ATP Tomas Machac WIN vs Jakub Mensik

3/25 16:00 WTA Aryna Sabalenka WIN vs Qinwen Zheng

3/25 16:10 NBA Orlando Magic WIN @ Charlotte Hornets

3/25 16:10 NBA San Antonio Spurs WIN @ Detroit Pistons

3/25 16:30 NBA Dallas Mavericks WIN @ New York Knicks

3/25 16:30 NBA Golden State Warriors WIN @ Miami Heat

3/25 17:10 NBA Atlanta Hawks WIN @ Houston Rockets

3/25 17:10 NHL Vegas Golden Knights WIN @ Minnesota Wild

3/25 17:10 NHL Washington Capitals WIN @ Winnipeg Jets

3/25 17:30 ATP Alexander Zverev WIN vs Arthur Fils

3/25 18:10 NBA Memphis Grizzlies WIN @ Utah Jazz

3/25 18:10 NHL Detroit Red Wings WIN @ Colorado Avalanche

3/25 19:10 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers WIN @ Portland Trail Blazers

3/25 19:10 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder WIN @ Sacramento Kings

3/25 19:40 NHL New York Rangers WIN @ Los Angeles Kings

3/26 07:00 IPL Rajasthan Royals WIN vs Kolkata Knight Riders

3/26 10:00 WTA Alexandra Eala WIN vs Iga Swiatek

3/26 12:00 ATP Alexander Zverev WIN vs Arthur Fils

3/26 13:30 ATP Francisco Cerundolo WIN vs Grigor Dimitrov

3/26 14:00 NCAAB Illinois St Redbirds WIN @ Cleveland St Vikings

3/26 16:00 NBA Washington Wizards WIN @ Philadelphia 76ers

3/26 16:00 WTA Emma Raducanu WIN vs Jessica Pegula

3/26 16:30 NBA Los Angeles Clippers WIN @ New York Knicks

3/26 16:30 NBA Toronto Raptors WIN @ Brooklyn Nets

3/26 16:30 NHL New Jersey Devils WIN @ Chicago Blackhawks

3/26 16:40 NBA Los Angeles Lakers WIN @ Indiana Pacers

3/27 13:30 ATP Sebastian Korda WIN vs Novak Djokovic

3/26 18:00 NBA Milwaukee Bucks WIN @ Denver Nuggets

3/26 19:00 NBA Boston Celtics WIN @ Phoenix Suns

3/26 19:00 NHL Boston Bruins WIN @ Anaheim Ducks

3/26 19:00 NHL Dallas Stars WIN @ Edmonton Oilers

3/27 10:00 ATP Arthur Fils WIN vs Jakub Mensik

3/27 12:00 WTA Aryna Sabalenka WIN vs Jasmine Paolini

3/27 12:05 MLB Milwaukee Brewers WIN @ New York Yankees

3/27 12:07 MLB Baltimore Orioles WIN @ Toronto Blue Jays

3/27 13:00 LL Barcelona WIN vs CA Osasuna

3/27 13:05 MLB Boston Red Sox WIN @ Texas Rangers

3/27 13:05 MLB Philadelphia Phillies WIN @ Washington Nationals

3/27 13:10 MLB Atlanta Braves WIN @ San Diego Padres

3/27 13:10 MLB Cleveland Guardians WIN @ Kansas City Royals

3/27 13:10 MLB Los Angeles Angels WIN @ Chicago White Sox

3/27 13:10 MLB New York Mets WIN @ Houston Astros

3/27 13:10 MLB Pittsburgh Pirates WIN @ Miami Marlins

3/27 13:10 MLB San Francisco Giants WIN @ Cincinnati Reds

3/27 13:15 MLB Minnesota Twins WIN @ St. Louis Cardinals

3/27 16:00 ATP Taylor Fritz WIN vs Matteo Berrettini

3/27 16:00 NBA Dallas Mavericks WIN @ Orlando Magic

3/27 16:00 NBA Indiana Pacers WIN @ Washington Wizards

3/27 16:00 NBA San Antonio Spurs WIN @ Cleveland Cavaliers

3/27 16:09 NCAAB BYU Cougars WIN @ Alabama Crimson Tide

3/27 16:10 MLB Detroit Tigers WIN @ Los Angeles Dodgers

3/27 16:30 NBA Atlanta Hawks WIN @ Miami Heat

3/27 16:30 NHL Washington Capitals WIN @ Minnesota Wild

3/27 16:39 NCAAB Maryland Terrapins WIN @ Florida Gators

3/27 17:00 NBA Los Angeles Lakers WIN @ Chicago Bulls

3/27 17:00 NBA Memphis Grizzlies WIN @ Oklahoma City Thunder

3/27 17:30 WTA Jessica Pegula WIN vs Alexandra Eala

3/27 18:00 NBA Houston Rockets WIN @ Utah Jazz

3/27 18:00 NHL Dallas Stars WIN @ Calgary Flames

3/27 18:39 NCAAB Arizona Wildcats WIN @ Duke Blue Devils

3/27 19:00 NBA Portland Trail Blazers WIN @ Sacramento Kings

3/27 19:00 NHL Edmonton Oilers WIN @ Seattle Kraken

3/27 19:00 NHL Los Angeles Kings WIN @ Colorado Avalanche

3/27 19:09 NCAAB Arkansas Razorbacks WIN @ Texas Tech Red Raiders

3/27 19:10 MLB Chicago Cubs WIN @ Arizona Diamondbacks

3/27 19:10 MLB Oakland Athletics WIN @ Seattle Mariners

3/27 19:30 NHL Toronto Maple Leafs WIN @ San Jose Sharks

3/28 01:35 AAL Macarthur FC WIN vs Newcastle Jets FC

3/28 01:40 AFL Carlton Blues WIN vs Western Bulldogs

3/28 03:00 JJL Cerezo Osaka WIN vs Urawa Red Diamonds

3/28 07:00 IPL Chennai Super Kings WIN vs Royal Challengers Bangalore

3/28 12:00 ATP Novak Djokovic WIN vs Grigor Dimitrov

3/28 12:30 BL Bayer Leverkusen WIN vs VfL Bochum

3/28 13:10 MLB Colorado Rockies WIN @ Tampa Bay Rays

3/28 15:00 ODI New Zealand WIN vs Pakistan

3/28 16:00 ATP Jakub Mensik WIN vs Taylor Fritz

3/28 16:07 MLB Baltimore Orioles WIN @ Toronto Blue Jays

3/28 16:10 MLB Pittsburgh Pirates WIN @ Miami Marlins

3/28 16:10 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers WIN @ Detroit Pistons

3/28 16:40 NBA Charlotte Hornets WIN @ Toronto Raptors

3/28 16:40 NBA Los Angeles Clippers WIN @ Brooklyn Nets

3/28 17:05 MLB Boston Red Sox WIN @ Texas Rangers

3/28 17:10 MLB New York Mets WIN @ Houston Astros

3/28 17:10 NBA Golden State Warriors WIN @ New Orleans Pelicans

3/28 17:10 NBA New York Knicks WIN @ Milwaukee Bucks

3/28 17:10 NBA Phoenix Suns WIN @ Minnesota Timberwolves

3/28 17:10 NHL New Jersey Devils WIN @ Winnipeg Jets

3/28 17:40 NHL Vegas Golden Knights WIN @ Chicago Blackhawks

3/28 18:10 NBA Utah Jazz WIN @ Denver Nuggets

3/28 18:40 MLB Atlanta Braves WIN @ San Diego Padres

3/28 18:40 MLB Chicago Cubs WIN @ Arizona Diamondbacks

3/28 18:40 MLB Oakland Athletics WIN @ Seattle Mariners

3/28 19:10 MLB Detroit Tigers WIN @ Los Angeles Dodgers

3/28 19:10 NHL New York Rangers WIN @ Anaheim Ducks

For now, I won't place live API taking orders on this.

⚽ Unless otherwise noted, soccer resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Aggregate score with a previous match, extra time, and penalty shootouts are ignored.

🕐 Times are PST (Los Angeles) but in 24h format to always have the next event on top.

Especially Tennis times are often tentative though.

🪙 I'll try to leave up large limit orders up sometimes up to 5 minutes before the game starts.

👩‍⚖ Mods: Feel free to resolve as soon as the result is clear. No need to wait for me.

🚥 Traders: To speed up resolution ping me with a result screenshot or link.

🦉 If you're only interested in one sport or team, just enter it in the search field like 'NBA' and boom! you have an NBA market.

Resolves N/A if the tournament is cancelled.

If a player does not compete for any reason, they simply will not be the winner.

Tournament starts April 5th in Bloomington, Indiana.

https://liquipedia.net/smash/Full_Bloom/2025/Melee

https://www.start.gg/tournament/full-bloom-2025/details

You can see more markets like these and markets for other tournaments on the 

At least 1 true* game-winning buzzer beater

A crying fan in the “One Shining Moment” tourney recap video

#1 seed team loses before the Elite Eight

Any #14 seed upsets a #3 seed in the Round of 64

A bracket prediction (on any website) is perfect for at least the first 40 games

At least one team seeded 5 or worse reaches the Final Four

At least one team seeded 9 or worse reaches the Elite Eight

At least one team seeded 13 or worse reaches the Sweet Sixteen

Player scores more than 37 points in single game

The combined score of at least one game is at least 180

The combined score of at least one game is over 182.5

The combined score of at least one game is over 202.5

At least one game goes to double overtime

Coach of championship winning team has an “e” in first or last name

Any Final Four (incl. Championship) game goes to OT

The Most Outstanding Player of the tournament is a guard

Allegations about players gambling during tournament

More than 5 games (including First Four) go into overtime

Player scores more than 40.5 points in single game

Basketball gets stuck between rim & backboard 

Current/former US President attends Championship game

More teams with names starting with vowels make it to the Sweet 16 than ones starting with consonants**

The championship game is played by two 1 seeds

Team that scores first in the championship game also wins the championship

Over 295.5 total points scored across all Final Four games (incl. Championship)

Submit whatever* you think might happen during the 

2025 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament

 (March Madness) here, and if it happens it will resolve 

*Please refrain from submitting answers covered ad nauseam elsewhere on Manifold, such as about the win/loss results of individual games.

Make your answers as understandable as possible with just the text so traders don't have to read the comments to know how something will resolve. 

I reserve the right to reword answers myself to make them more clear. I may N/A submissions for any reason. 

Evidence provided in comments is strongly encouraged to facilitate speedy resolution. I reserve the right to resolve NO any answer for which sufficient evidence is not provided, though will do what I can to resolve independently.

Other mods are welcome to resolve answers in this market.

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/introducing-ai-2027

This market resolves in January 2027. It resolves YES if the AI Futures Project's predictions seem to have been roughly correct up until that point. Some details here and there can be wrong, just as in Daniel's 2021 set of predictions, but the important through-lines should be correct.

Resolution will be via a poll of Manifold moderators. If they're split on the issue, with anywhere from 30% to 70% YES votes, it'll resolve to the proportion of YES votes. Otherwise it resolves YES/NO.

[invalid answer] Multiple people e.g. a team from OpenAI

No one, the tweet was a joke or intended to attract advertisers without referring to someone specific

https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400

This market is specifically on whom the above tweet is referring to, regardless of whether the interview occurs.

some characters in Pewdiepie's minecraft series (Jorgen, Sven, Water Sheep, etc.)

lose all/most of your stuff because you fell in lava

Nether portal is lit with flint and steel

Note the resolution criteria—what matters is the change in the count of federal employees, not whether we can confirm Trump and/or Elon directly fired them. For reference, the specific chart Kalshi links to appears to be 

: This question resolves YES if the United States federal government officially implements new tariffs targeting semiconductors imported from Taiwan, with an effective date on or before December 31, 2025.

Press Releases | Tesla Investor Relations

Note: A Range of 426-450 includes 450,999 vehicles delivered. 

This market resolves YES if President Trump officially announces any extension, adjustment, or modification to the recently implemented tariffs before April 10, 2025. This includes changes to tariff rates, affected products, exempted countries, or implementation timelines.

The announcement must come from an official White House source or be widely reported by major news outlets.

A recession is defined as 2 consecutive quarters where the GDP is negative. We will use the initial estimate provided, not any revised estimates.

Both quarters must occur in 2025, ie Q3 and Q4 having negative GDP will resolve this market to YES. However, 2025 Q4 and 2026 Q1 would resolve this market to NO.

All tariffs announced on April 2, 2025 must be delayed or walked back for this market to resolve YES. Resolves NO if this is done by an act of Congress.

Market will resolve to YES if 45.0% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated April 20th, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: 

https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

To account for any lag in aggregation or tracker updating, the data will be checked three days later on April 23rd, 2025.

In the event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: 

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

An armistice, ceasefire, or negotiated settlement is announced by both Ukraine and Russia regarding the ongoing war in Ukraine at any point between the Associated Press calling the election for Donald Trump, and April 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

🇺🇸 US Politics

🖥️ Technology

🏟️ Sports

Trump has claimed he will impose a 10% tariff on all countries except China, which will have a 60% tariff.

This market will resolve to YES if Trump wins the presidency, and then he imposes a 10% tariff (or greater) on at least most imports (as measured in dollar terms) to the US from all countries except China.

If Trump imposes a tariff in excess of 10%, that does count as a YES.

If Trump imposes a tariff less than 10%, that does not count.

If Trump does not win the presidency, the market resolves to NO, even if the winner imposes a tariff.

I will resolve this based on the Metaculus resolution:

 if Nvidia's stock outperforms the S&P 500 in 2025. If its return is less than or equal to that of the S&P 500, this question resolves as 

“Yes” for the first team, “No” for the second. 

Trade on politics & more