[Metaculus] Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025?

Will the US government commit to legal restrictions on large AI training runs by January 1st, 2025?

Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries)

Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny some entities)

Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all, secret or no new licenses)

By end of 2024, what will be the legal status regarding the use of copyrighted works for training AI models in the US?

Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026?

Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing)

The US, UK or EU put limits on training of AI models (eg $ spent) before 2024?

Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?